Top 5 Stocks to Benefit from the Rising Prices in Oil and Energy
- Hawkmont Research
- Mar 20
- 7 min read

Oil prices have exploded higher in March 2026. Brent crude has traded above $100 per barrel, with WTI frequently topping $90 amid the U.S.-Iran conflict and the near-shutdown of commercial traffic through the Strait of Hormuz. That chokepoint carries roughly one-fifth of global seaborne oil. Forecasts that once called for Brent to average $60 this year have been shredded. Analysts now pencil in $80-plus averages, with sustained upside risk if disruptions linger.
This matters for investors because higher crude directly fattens producer margins, ignites drilling budgets, and lifts service-company revenues. Energy stocks have already surged, but the move still looks early. North American operators enjoy low-cost acreage, strong balance sheets, and disciplined capital allocation. They convert every extra dollar of oil revenue into free cash flow, dividends, and buybacks far more efficiently than in past cycles. The five stocks below stand out as the clearest ways to capture that upside. Each combines operational leverage to rising prices with defensive traits that limit downside if the conflict cools. Position now or watch from the sidelines as cash flows compound.
1. Diamondback Energy (FANG)
Diamondback Energy operates as an independent oil and natural gas company laser-focused on the Permian Basin in West Texas. It acquires, develops, and exploits unconventional reserves, delivering around 500,000 barrels of oil per day with total output nearing 950,000 barrels of oil equivalent daily.
The company benefits powerfully from higher oil prices because its breakeven sits under $40 per barrel, among the lowest in the industry. Every extra dollar of WTI flows almost entirely to free cash flow thanks to operational efficiency gains like ultra-long laterals and continuous pumping. At sustained $90-plus crude, cash generation explodes, supporting a growing base dividend near $4.20 annualized plus aggressive buybacks and variable payouts that reward shareholders directly.
The key catalyst is the premium placed on secure domestic Permian barrels amid ongoing Strait of Hormuz disruptions. Diamondback’s massive inventory and 2026 plans for Barnett/Woodford expansion add low-cost growth without heavy spending. Analysts see it as undervalued with production-per-share upside, making it a high-conviction play on supply tightness.
The primary risk remains a swift oil price reversal if tensions ease. Yet the rock-bottom breakeven and disciplined capital allocation keep returns positive even at $50 oil. Debt reduction targets further strengthen the balance sheet. For investors hunting torque without supermajor scale, FANG delivers hidden leverage to the energy surge.
2. Devon Energy (DVN)
Devon Energy stands as a leading independent U.S. producer with a diversified portfolio across the Delaware Basin, Anadarko, Eagle Ford, and Bakken. It targets low-cost shale plays, producing over 850,000 barrels of oil equivalent daily with a heavy oil weighting.
Higher oil prices turbocharge Devon’s margins. Its low-cost structure converts price spikes into outsized free cash flow, funding fixed dividends, buybacks, and special returns. Recent cost-saving initiatives and a strategic merger path promise $1 billion in annual synergies, amplifying cash flows exactly when crude rewards volume.
The key catalyst combines sustained high crude with merger-driven efficiencies. Diversified basins provide resilience while the Permian-heavy core captures the full upside. At current levels, every $10 oil move adds meaningful millions to quarterly results, positioning Devon for accelerated shareholder distributions.
Risks include short-term production hiccups from weather or integration delays and a potential oil pullback. The conservative balance sheet and proven cycle navigation mitigate those. Environmental factors in shale play a role, but strong cash funds compliance. DVN offers diversified hidden-gem exposure with institutional upside.
3. ConocoPhillips (COP)
ConocoPhillips stands as one of the purest large-scale exploration and production companies. It focuses exclusively on finding and lifting oil and natural gas in more than a dozen countries, with heavy exposure to the low-cost Permian Basin, Alaska, and international assets. Production exceeds 1.8 million barrels of oil equivalent per day, emphasizing high-margin barrels.
The company benefits enormously from rising oil because its portfolio breakeven sits near $40 per barrel. Every dollar above that drops straight to the bottom line. Strong balance sheet discipline (one of the highest credit ratings among independents) and low leverage let COP return capital aggressively through a growing base dividend, regular share buybacks, and variable distributions tied to excess cash. At sustained $90 oil, these returns compound rapidly.
The key catalyst is the structural supply tightness created by Hormuz disruptions. COP’s low-cost inventory allows it to maintain or modestly grow output without reckless spending. North American focus plus select international projects position it to capture higher realizations while peers with higher costs hesitate. Recent portfolio optimization has trimmed high-cost assets, sharpening the leverage to crude.
The main risk is a collapse in oil prices back to the $60 range if shipping lanes reopen quickly. Even then, COP’s $40-ish breakeven and variable payout structure keep shareholder returns intact. Debt levels remain conservative, and the company’s track record of capital discipline limits downside. COP offers pure-play leverage with institutional-grade safety.
4. Occidental Petroleum (OXY)
Occidental Petroleum concentrates on high-quality U.S. acreage, especially the Permian Basin where it ranks among the largest producers. Operations center on efficient drilling and completion in Texas and New Mexico, with additional assets in the Rockies and international locations. Recent moves, including the sale of its chemicals business, have streamlined the company toward upstream focus and debt reduction.
Higher oil prices transform OXY’s economics. At $80 WTI the company has demonstrated the ability to generate roughly $1 billion in quarterly free cash flow, with Permian output ramping aggressively. Every incremental $10 in crude multiplies that figure because of high oil skew and low operating costs in its core acreage. The “Permian premium” becomes real when global supply is threatened: these are safe, domestic barrels far from Middle East flashpoints.
The key catalyst is the flight to secure supply amid Strait of Hormuz risks. Producers worldwide are scrambling for barrels outside OPEC+ and conflict zones. Occidental’s Permian dominance and 107 percent organic reserve replacement rate let it deliver steady volume growth exactly when the market pays up. Debt paydown to around $15 billion improves financial flexibility for further returns to shareholders.
Risks include execution on drilling pace or a sharp reversal in prices that pressures margins. Occidental carries more leverage than some peers, though recent asset sales have improved the picture. Environmental scrutiny around Permian operations exists, yet strong cash generation funds both growth and any required compliance. For investors comfortable with U.S.-centric exposure, OXY offers outsized upside to sustained high oil.
5. Halliburton (HAL)
Halliburton provides essential oilfield services across the entire well lifecycle, from drilling and completion to production optimization and abandonment. It supplies pressure pumping, drilling tools, wireline services, and consulting to operators worldwide, with a balanced mix of North American and international revenue.
The company benefits indirectly but powerfully from rising oil. When crude sustains above $80, producers expand drilling budgets and accelerate completion activity. Halliburton’s international order book already sits at record levels, driven by deepwater and offshore projects. North American activity, while more cyclical, rebounds as Permian and other shale operators chase higher margins. Pricing power returns quickly in tight service markets.
The key catalyst is the lagged but inevitable lift in capital spending. Energy firms have kept reinvestment rates disciplined during lower-price years. Elevated crude now unlocks pent-up demand for fracking fleets, tools, and technology. Halliburton’s cost-cutting initiatives and aggressive share buybacks (reducing outstanding shares to decade lows) amplify the earnings leverage. Recent quarterly beats and raised guidance reflect this dynamic already taking hold.
Risks revolve around the cyclical nature of services. A sudden oil price crash would prompt swift spending cuts, hitting revenues first. North American exposure can fluctuate with rig counts. Competition and margin pressure exist, yet Halliburton’s technology edge and international diversification cushion the blow. At current valuations the stock still offers attractive entry for investors betting on sustained activity.
Final words
Rising oil and energy prices triggered by Middle East supply shocks create a multi-quarter tailwind for disciplined operators and service providers. Diamondback Energy and Devon Energy deliver pure-play leverage with low-cost U.S. acreage that the market has yet to fully price in. ConocoPhillips and Occidental Petroleum provide additional upstream torque with scale and safety. Halliburton captures the spending surge that inevitably follows higher crude.
Each name features strong balance sheets, shareholder-friendly policies, and proven ability to thrive across price cycles. Together they span the energy value chain, reducing single-point risk while maximizing exposure to the current environment. Allocate thoughtfully, monitor geopolitical headlines, and let compounding cash flows do the heavy lifting. Energy markets rarely hand out such clear opportunities. The window is open. Smart capital is already moving.
Disclaimer
The information contained in this research report ("Report") is provided by Hawkmont Research, a global macro research firm, for informational purposes only and is not intended to constitute investment, financial, legal, tax, or accounting advice. This Report does not represent an offer or solicitation to buy or sell any securities, financial instruments, or investments, nor does it form the basis of any contract or commitment.
All opinions, estimates, projections, and analyses expressed in this Report are those of the authors as of the date of publication and are subject to change without notice. They are based on sources believed to be reliable, but no representation or warranty, express or implied, is made regarding the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of the information. Past performance is not indicative of future results, and actual outcomes may differ materially from those forecasted due to various risks, including but not limited to geopolitical developments, economic conditions, market volatility, regulatory changes, and unforeseen events.
Forward-looking statements in this Report, including price scenarios, economic forecasts, and investment implications, involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to vary significantly. Readers should not place undue reliance on such statements. Hawkmont Research assumes no liability for any errors, omissions, or inaccuracies in the Report or for any decisions made based on its content.
This Report may discuss specific securities, sectors, or markets, but such discussions are not recommendations to buy, sell, or hold. Investors should conduct their own due diligence and consult with qualified professionals before making investment decisions. The Report is not tailored to any individual's financial situation, objectives, or risk tolerance.
Data and charts are derived from publicly available sources and may include estimates or projections. Citations and references are provided where applicable, but Hawkmont Research does not guarantee their ongoing availability or accuracy.
Distribution of this Report is subject to applicable laws and regulations. It is not directed to any jurisdiction where its distribution would be prohibited. By accessing or using this Report, you agree to these terms.


